NATIONAL ASSEMBLY
FOR WRITTEN REPLY
QUESTION NO 851
DATE REPLY SUBMITTED: WEDNESDAY, 15 JUNE 2011
DATE OF PUBLICATION IN INTERNAL QUESTION PAPER: FRIDAY, 11 MARCH 2011
(INTERNAL QUESTION PAPER: NO 6 â 2011)
Mr S B Farrow (DA) asked the Minister of Transport:
(1) Whether, with reference to the statistics provided by the Road
Traffic Management Corporation (RTMC), estimated monthly targets have
been set for (a) 2008, (b) 2009 and (c) 2010 with regard to road
accident (i) reductions, (ii) deaths and (iii) injuries; if not, why
not; if so, what have been the (aa) estimated and (bb) actual figures
for each specified category in each month of the specified years;
(2) whether a comparative analysis has been done of the estimated and
actual figures; if not, why not; if so, what are the findings of this
analysis? NW927E
REPLY:
The Minister of Transport:
(1) (a), (b) and (c) (i), (ii) and (iii) and (aa) and (bb)
Yes, estimated monthly targets have been set for 2008, 2009 and 2010.
The information in this regard has been provided under Table 1 below.
Table 1 provides the targets and Table 2 provides the actual
*fatalities.
*Please take note that the Road Traffic Management Corporation (RTMC)
has not been keeping information on road accident reductions or
injuries in the past three years, only road crash fatalities.
Table 1: Target number of fatalities to achieve 2015 plan goals
|Year |Target Number of Fatalities to Achieve 2015 Plan Goals |
| |Month |
|Year |
|Rolling 12 month Number of Road Fatalities per Province |
Month |Item |GA |KZ |WC |EC |FS |MP |NW |LI |NC |RSA | | |Target |2,924
|2,209 |1,470 |1,459 |1,001 |1,588 |1,116 |1,224 |338 |13,553 |
|Sept '09 |Actual |2,288 |2,926 |1,294 |1,447 |949 |1,860 |1,154
|1,483 |308 |13,709 | | |Difference |-636 |717 |-176 |-12 |-52 |272
|38 |259 |-30 |380 | | |% Diff |-21.75 |32.47 |-11.97 |-0.82 |-5.21
|17.14 |3.43 |21.19 |-8.93 |2.81 | | |Target |2,875 |2,172 |1,445
|1,435 |985 |1,562 |1,097 |1,204 |333 |13,329 | |Dec '09 |Actual
|2,485 |2,854 |1,285 |1,543 |967 |1,674 |1,130 |1,492 |337 |13,768
| | |Difference |-390 |681 |-160 |108 |-17 |112 |33 |288 |4 |660 |
| |% Diff |-13.58 |31.37 |-11.08 |7.53 |-1.74 |7.20 |3.02 |23.95
|1.31 |4.95 | | |Target |2,824 |2,133 |1,420 |1,410 |967 |1,534
|1,078 |1,182 |327 |13,108 | |Mar '10 |Actual |2,426 |2,795 |1,307
|1,517 |1,098 |1,651 |1,204 |1,554 |370 |13,923 | | |Difference |-
398 |661 |-113 |107 |131 |118 |126 |372 |43 |1,048 | | |% Diff |-
14.10 |31.00 |-7.96 |7.59 |13.58 |7.66 |11.73 |31.43 |13.23 |7.99
| | |Target |2,774 |2,096 |1,395 |1,385 |950 |1,507 |1,059 |1,161
|321 |12,875 | |Jun '10 |Actual |2,248 |2,752 |1,349 |1,763 |1,154
|1,589 |1,152 |1,511 |411 |13,929 | | |Difference |-527 |656 |-45
|379 |204 |83 |93 |349 |90 |1,282 | | |% Diff |-18.98 |31.31 |-
3.24 |27.35 |21.48 |5.48 |8.80 |30.10 |28.01 |9.96 | | |Target
|2,725 |2,058 |1,370 |1,360 |933 |1,480 |1,040 |1,141 |315 |12,646
| |Sept '10 |Actual |2,272 |2,709 |1,332 |1,786 |1,167 |1,603 |1,172
|1,553 |411 |14,005 | | |Difference |-453 |651 |-38 |426 |234 |124
|132 |412 |96 |1,583 | | |% Diff |-16.64 |31.63 |-2.78 |31.36
|25.04 |8.35 |12.67 |36.13 |30.40 |12.52 | |
[pic]
The actual figures reflect the real number of road fatalities recorded
per province for the respective quarters as indicated. Both the
target and actual figures represent the 12-month rolling total
fatality figures per province and the total amount on a national basis
(RSA).
The difference, as well as the percentage difference figures in the
table above, shows the difference between the set target and actual
number of road fatalities. A difference of â0â indicates that the set
target of reducing the number of fatalities was met. Differences
smaller than â0â (<0) shows achievements better than what is expected
or required and differences larger thanâ0â (>0) shows that the
required targets were not achieved and reflects inadequate performance
towards reaching the desired goal per quarter and ultimately the 2015
goal.
The information in the table and graph above shows that better
performing provinces (differences less thanâ0â) are well on track
towards achieving the goal of reducing road fatalities by 50% by the
year 2015. These provinces are:
⢠Gauteng: which is also continuously improving its performance from
-21,75% in September 2009 to -16,64% in September 2010.
⢠Western Cape: shows an improvement performance from -11,97% in
September 2009 to -2,78% in September 2010.
⢠Free State: shows an improved performance from -5,21% in September
2009 to -1,74% in December 2009, even though for the March 2010
quarter the difference percentage was 13,58% and 21,48% for June
2010.
⢠Northern Cape: shows an improvement of -8.93% in September 2009
only.
⢠Eastern Cape: shows an improvement of 0.82% in September 2009 only.
The provinces that are not performing as required (differences larger
than â0â) are the following:
⢠KwaZulu-Natal: overall the worst performing province, with a
continuous increase in the quarterly number of road
fatalities that exceed the set quarterly targets for the
province â ranging from +32,47% in September 2009 and +31,37%
in December 2009, +31.00% in March 2010, + 31,31% in June
2010 and +31,63 September 2010. This province was the
biggest contributor to the total figure on a national basis,
therefore not achieving its set target towards the end of the
review period.
⢠Limpopo: made no contribution towards achieving the 2015
goals. Over the review period, the performance of this
province worsened from +21,19% in September 2009 to +36,13%
in September 2010.
⢠Mpumalanga: made no contribution towards achieving the 2015
goals. Over the review period, the performance of this
province worsened from +17,14% in September 2009 to +8,35% in
September 2010. However, its shows an improvement with a
downward slope.
⢠North West: made no contribution towards achieving the 2015
goals. Over the review period the performance of this
province worsened from +3,43% in September 2009 to +12,67% in
September 2010. It also shows an improvement with a downward
slope.
Gauteng and Western Cape were operating close to the border-line
with figures ranging from -16,64% to -2.78% in September 2010
moving in a non-contributory direction.
National figure (RSA): over the review period the national
figures range from -2,81% in September 2009 to +12,52% in
September 2010. The countryâs performance towards the reduction
of fatalities by 50% for the assessed period is deteriorating.
The worst performing provinces listed above contributed to this
non-achieving trend, with the biggest negative influences from
KwaZulu-Natal, Eastern Cape, Northern Cape, Free State and
Limpopo.